Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000041 0.000044 0.000048 0.000053 0.000058 0.000063 0.000069
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000040 0.000046 0.000052 0.000060 0.000068 0.000079
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000059 0.000070 0.000084
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000058 0.000070 0.000087
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000090
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000071 0.000092
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055 0.000071 0.000094
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000055 0.000073 0.000099
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000043 0.000057 0.000077 0.000107
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000028 0.000038 0.000051 0.000070 0.000097 0.000139
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000068 0.000095 0.000139
2026-02-08 0.000018 0.000025 0.000033 0.000046 0.000065 0.000093 0.000139
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000024 0.000033 0.000047 0.000068 0.000099 0.000151
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000068 0.000102 0.000160
2026-03-01 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000066 0.000101 0.000162
2026-03-08 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000043 0.000065 0.000100 0.000163
2026-03-15 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000063 0.000099 0.000166
2026-03-22 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000039 0.000061 0.000098 0.000167
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000038 0.000060 0.000097 0.000167
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000060 0.000098 0.000174
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000038 0.000062 0.000105 0.000189
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000045 0.000076 0.000132 0.000251
2026-04-26 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000043 0.000073 0.000129 0.000248